North Dakota oil production hits another record in 7-13 with 6.5% increase for month

Average daily production in July was 874,681 barrels (bopd), which is an increase of 53,150 per day, or 6.47% for the month.

By my calc, this is an increase of 198,281 bopd from 7-12 to 7-13, or 29.3%. In the prior year (7-11 to 7-12), daily production increased by 251,231 bopd, or 50.1%.

The 12 month increase through 7-13 was smaller in amount and percent than the prior year.  Only a one-third increase in a year.  As I’ve pointed out before, only in the world of North Dakota oil production is a 29% annual increase not impressive when compared to the prior year.

Director’s cut is here.

Here are some graphs. Average daily production of the last 5 1/2 years: Continue reading “North Dakota oil production hits another record in 7-13 with 6.5% increase for month”

Slice-and-dice farm approved in North Dakota

A 75 turbine wind-farm has been approved near the North Dakota/South Dakota border, south of Dickinson, southwest of Bismarck.

The zoning commission and county commission approved the farm Monday (9-9-13), according to an article in the Bismarck Tribune, Adams County approved $350 million mega-wind farm near Hettinger.

Continue reading “Slice-and-dice farm approved in North Dakota”

Air travel at record level in North Dakota

Record increases in boardings over last year.  Statewide increase of 9%, according to Bismark Tribune, N.D. airports post highest June boarding ever.

Article says boardings out of Williston tripled since June 2012.

That makes sense –  United and Delta flights to Williston started since last June; last fall as I recall.

Jet service from Dickinson to Denver and Minneapolis started in June 2013.

Obviously the oil boom is driving that traffic increase.

“Bakken Assembly Line” – drilling will continue for 3 more years at the current pace

Bruce Oksol provides a voice of calm in response to an alarmist editorial in the Bismarck Tribune. The editorial mentions that the state government expects 6,000 wells to come on-line in the next three years. That will lead to huge increases in drilling, truck traffic, and overall activity. At least according to the paper: Prepare for a “big surge” in Bakken.

Actually, that would be a continuation of the pace of drilling that is going on now. Today. More Details on the Coming Surge in The Bakken: 6,000 Additional Bakken Wells Over The Next Three Years reminds us that the current production rate is already 2,000 new wells a year.

Continue reading ““Bakken Assembly Line” – drilling will continue for 3 more years at the current pace”

North Dakota oil production drops in January ‘13 because of bad weather

January production dropped to 738,022 BOPD from revised 770,111 in December and preceding high of 749,095 in October.

Comments follow the graph:

 1-13 production

  Continue reading “North Dakota oil production drops in January ‘13 because of bad weather”

Have you noticed the new unit of measure for large oil fields is “Bakkens”?

I’ve noticed a fun trend. In discussions of undeveloped oil fields where fracking could open up huge production the potential size of the field is compared to Bakken. Thus, a new unit of measure – how many Bakkens are in the new field.

Three examples.

Continue reading “Have you noticed the new unit of measure for large oil fields is “Bakkens”?”

The frontier is open again – the oil field is “the gold rush of our generation”

“Witnessing my generation’s gold rush” is a superb story of what is happening in North Dakota, as observed by a photojournalist Mr. Jim Urquhart.

He provides a wonderful photo story of drilling in North Dakota. The scenery is beautiful and views of roughnecks are superb. Views of the drilling rigs from the air are outstanding.

His description of the economic vitality and what it’s like to live in Williston and work on an oil rig is delightful.

Here is a one sentence summary of the astounding things happening in Bakken. Continue reading “The frontier is open again – the oil field is “the gold rush of our generation””

Graph of North Dakota oil production – another record – May 2012

Average daily oil production in North Dakota for May 2012 was 639,277 bopd, which is an increase of 29,904 barrels per day over April, or 4.9%.  The April increase was 33,883 bopd, or 5.9% for the month. Increase in March was 17,235 bopd, or 3.1% over February.

Number of wells increased to 6,954.

You can find the data here.

Here is a graph of monthly production:

For some longer term perspective, here is the production data for the month of May over the last 5 years. Continue reading “Graph of North Dakota oil production – another record – May 2012”

Official estimate of Williston population grows 9% in 2011

The Williston Herald describes the Census Bureau’s estimate of 2011 population for North Dakota and key cities in their article Census estimates indicate growth in ND oil patch.

The article says the official estimates are that Williston and Watford City grew by 9% in 2011. 

Official count for the state is 683,932.

Although this is the official data, the real count is likely far higher. The changes in the oil patch are running too fast for the estimates to keep up.

Continue reading “Official estimate of Williston population grows 9% in 2011”

Graphs of North Dakota oil production – April 2012

Here’s a few graphs of North Dakota oil production.

Click on any graph to enlarge.

Average daily production by month:

Annual average of daily production (calculated as total production for the year divided by 365, except for 2012 which is divided by 121): Continue reading “Graphs of North Dakota oil production – April 2012”

Back of the envelope calculations for drilling one well in the Bakken and value of annual production

Update: Bottom line on the back of the envelope – 1.9 year breakeven point.

I’ve been wanting to do some math on the economics of drilling. Now’s the time.

UPDATE – Revised for higher productivity of Bakken wells of 142 barrels per day.

Previous post provided some data from an article in the Chicago Tribune for Occidental Petroleum – Insight: Peak, pause or plummet? Shale oil costs at crossroads

Continue reading “Back of the envelope calculations for drilling one well in the Bakken and value of annual production”

One set of data points for the cost of drilling in Bakken and the beauty of pricing signals

The Chicago Tribune provides a few pieces of info for drilling costs in their aricle Insight: Peak, pause or plummet? Shale oil costs at crossroads

The article, by Selam Gebrekidan, gives some pricing data from Occidental Petroleum.

The cost of bringing one Bakken well into production has grown from an average $6.5 million in 2010 to $8.5 million in the first quarter this year, data from company reports and the state regulator show.

Break even point:

Efficient forms of fracking are also helping companies extract more oil from each well, lowering the break-even cost of production, now estimated between $55 and $70 a barrel.

For the economics of drilling, here is some market data: Continue reading “One set of data points for the cost of drilling in Bakken and the beauty of pricing signals”

Williston hits the WSJ editorial page

The oil boom in Williston is of high interest to me since our son is living there and participating in the boom times.

So the discussion on the editorial page of the Wall Street Journal yesterday was mostly old news to me:

Continue reading “Williston hits the WSJ editorial page”